Title : Syria: Not If But When & How Will the US/UK/French and Israeli Attack Begin?
link : Syria: Not If But When & How Will the US/UK/French and Israeli Attack Begin?
Syria: Not If But When & How Will the US/UK/French and Israeli Attack Begin?
Though Israel isn't being mentioned as a partner in these specific US/UK/French plans, I have no doubt they are ready to take advantage of the situation. Which means they are part of whatever will unfold. Israel is ready to go!Here's a round up of news and views I find most relevant. Hope you do too?
PM Theresa May Ready to Give the Go Ahead for Military Action Against Syria
Prime Minister Theresa May is ready to give the go-ahead for Britain to take part in military action in response to a suspected chemical weapons attack in Syria, the BBC reported on Wednesday.Trump will not seek congressional approval. I expect Macron is going to go the same route. Dictatorial like!
May would not seek prior parliamentary approval, the BBC said without naming its sources.
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| Trump & May: War Pigs Hand in Hand |
Syrians Brace for Attack from US and thugs
"With a mix of fear and defiance, Syrians braced on Wednesday for a possible U.S. attack in retaliation to an alleged chemical assault"
This is NOT a retaliatory attack- This is a first strike aggression!
Link
A strike against Syria will likely come in the form of missiles, as was the case last year.
The United States would not want to risk putting manned aircraft over Syrian air defenses -- a shoot-down would send the conflict spiralling in unforeseeable new directions.
The USS Donald Cook, an Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer, is within easy striking range of Syria, as is a French frigate with its own cruise missiles.
These two ships, possibly aided by a US submarine, are likely to play a role in a strike.
The French Frigate is the "Aquataine" There were reports of Russian planes flying low over it the other day:"The US has to be very careful not to accidentally strike Russian targets or kill Russian advisors," Ben Connable, a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation, told AFP."That significantly limits the number of options available to the United States, because the Russians are embedded in many cases with the Syrians."
The Aquitaine is equipped with 16 cruise missiles and 16 surface-to-air missiles. It is currently operating off Lebanese shores alongside U.S. ships as part of France’s contingent fighting Islamic State militants in Syria and Iraq.
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| Aquitaine |
“The flight took place several days ago,” a French naval source said, adding that France had contacted Russian authorities over the matter.
“Passes by military aircraft over warships are things that happen at sea. When it is deemed too close, the opposing party is notified,” the source said.
More on how this attack may go down- The Drive
"It seems to be all but assumed that the U.S. will launch another Tomahawk cruise missile barrage from the Eastern Mediterranean at targets in Syria. This is likely accurate, but this time around a more diverse set of assets are likely to be used in addition to Tomahawks, such as B-2 bombers, F-22 Raptors and other standoff munitions.
Regardless of what is used, the train of thought is that Russia will return fire on the launching vessel or vessels by executing an anti-ship missile attack. There have even postings of Flanker derivatives supposedly prowling over Tartus, Syria carrying Kh-35 anti-ship missiles to support this idea. Of course, there is no way to corroborate the authenticity of these images.
#RuAF Su-34 carrying what seems to be two Kh-35 missiles— Wael πΈπΎ (@WaelAlRussi) April 10, 2018
Via @QuarterToAli_ pic.twitter.com/FNhfWcFeUp
Russia is more likely to contain the conflict within Syrian borders by launching a series of highly targeted standoff attacks on American interests and installations in Eastern Syria."This would be at Tanf (US Terror Base on the Border of Jordan, Iraq and Syria)
This location was struck in 2016 by Russia- I covered the incident in this post
Flashback: Russia Bombed Base in Syria Used by US & UK Special Forces
And the New Syrian Army too! Reread that post if you are at all unfamiliar with the previous strike and what the US has been doing at Tanf."Similar operating locations are also scattered as far north as al Raqqa and as far east as Deir ez-Zor.
As for the possibility that Americans could die in those strikes, Russia can say the same for American strikes on Assad's military capabilities and installations. Giving the U.S. a warning may be possible on very short notice but it could decrease the chances of their cruise missiles actually making it to their targets intact. But even if U.S. special operations personnel vacate those locales in advance of a Russian attack, destroying the infrastructure at the forward outposts, albeit already quite austere, can be claimed as a win by Moscow.
Russia already has a significant number of options for which it could execute a stand-off attack already positioned in the region
Within Syria proper, it has Bastion-P coastal defense systems, each of which includes a number of wheeled transport-erector-launchers with two P-800 Oniks missiles"
"Officially a supersonic, sea-skimming anti-ship missile, in November 2016, Russian forces in Syria demonstrated that the weapon had a secondary land-attack capability. It remains unclear how accurate these weapons are in this role given that they traditionally use radar to home in on their target in the final stages of flight and that system is geared toward searching for and locking onto ships in a maritime environment. At the same time, the missiles could rely on their inertial navigation systems with the help of GLONASS to strike a set of coordinates on a map.
By striking from the Mediterranean, the Russians would be able to avoid having to secure permission to send those missiles flying over third-party countries. Otherwise, they would have to do so without that authorization and risk the consequences of possibly provoking diplomatic protests, or worse if one of the weapons fails and crashes inside one of those countries.
In 2015, ships from the Russian Navy's Caspian Sea Flotilla fired Kalibrs into Syria, but some of them came down inside Iran. Warships firing those weapons from inside the Black Sea would have to shoot the weapons over Turkey, while launches from the Red Sea would have to cross Saudi Arabia, and possibly Jordan, the latter being an especially staunch American ally, to get to Syria.
Another option would be to send long-range bombers, potentially including Tu-22M3 Backfires, Tu-160M White Swans, and Tu-95M Bears, carrying Kh-55 and Kh-101 air-launched cruise missiles over the Mediterranean to launch those weapons"
There is even the possibility that the Russians could take the opportunity to demonstrate an all-new capability. (Too speculative in my opinion) Russia's Air Force claims that it has fielded the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal, which appears to be an air-launched version of the Iskander-M short-range ballistic missile, with MiG-31 interceptor units in the country's Southern Military District.There may be an update?!
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