Title : Biden wins, but the threat remains...
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Biden wins, but the threat remains...
Sorry I was away. I wasn't sure how to react to Biden's unexpectedly robust victory in South Carolina. When you inhabit Despair Central, good news feels weird. Downright uncanny.Bernie Sanders' frontrunner status is largely a media creation, since he never won much more than thirty percent of the vote (even in Nevada). At least two-thirds of the Democratic electorate is anti-Bernie. He is unique among the candidates in that many of those who voted against him really detest him. Thanks in large part to the fanaticism of his Bros -- an army of cyber-Robespierres -- Sanders evinces not just apathy but antipathy, not just antipathy but disgust, not just disgust but fury.
Unfortunately, the anti-Bernie vote has been badly split. Each alternative candidate possessed a unique appeal: Bloomberg's financial clout made him seem unstoppable (until his first debate), Warren (still my favorite) is smart and beloved, Buttigieg is the face of the future, while Klobuchar has purple-state appeal. Steyer, the "good" billionaire, never seemed to gain much traction; I'm not sure why.
And then there's Joe.
His gaffes are simply part of his personality; we cannot ascribe them to age, since he's had these hiccups since the 1980s. When speaking extempore, he always mixes alpha male pugnacity (very helpful in a race against Trump), old-fashioned appeals to sentiment and patriotism, the insights of a top-notch lawyer, constant reminders of his wide experience, and a worrying tendency to veer into shaggy-dog stories that may not lead anywhere. And then, inevitably, he gifts us with that Bidenesque WTF moment: You never know when he's going to congratulate himself for helping Tony Stark fight the Chitauri.
Of course, Trump's hallucinatory gaffes are far more numerous. Unlike Trump, Biden knows how to apologize. The more primeval voters actually like blowhards who never apologize, while the more civilized voters understand that humility signifies grace and character. I'm no longer confident that the civilized outnumber the brutes.
Suddenly, fortunately, the field has narrowed. And that changes everything.
Steyer is gone. Buttigieg (the winner in Iowa) has also found the door marked Exit. His time is not now. The country is, I think, ready for an openly-gay president -- maybe -- but not for an openly-gay president with a malnourished resume. I look forward to another run by Senator Buttigieg or Congressman Buttigieg or Governor Buttigieg. If he can't attain such a position, then he was never meant for the presidency.
Klobuchar is running for vice president at this point, and she has a damned good chance of snagging that position. (She remains a good backup choice for moderates if Biden should falter badly.) Bloomberg, I hope, will reconcile himself to his proper task: Using his financial clout to clobber first Sanders and then Trump.
Warren? She's hanging in there. But for how much longer? She's easily the best of the candidates -- smart, articulate, witty, brilliant, personable, prepared, capable. But she made a few key strategic mistakes: She wedded herself to Medicare For All, and she refused to recognize Bernie Sanders as THE enemy. Her worst error was not launching an attack on Trump from the right, castigating him for buying good times by running up a multi-trillion dollar debt. Landing a solid right-handed punch would have differentiated her from Sanders while forcing the media to pay attention.
So we're left with Joe. I'm not a hope peddler, but if you're looking for someone who actually stands a chance of squeaking out a win in November, Biden is it. He's no sure thing; Warren would have been the better choice. But right now, Biden is what we've got.
I'm glad that he owes his big win to the black voters of South Carolina: Too many progressives pretend to love African Americans while disdaining the way African Americans actually vote. (If, as many BernieBros argue, Hillary lost because black people disdained her, why did so many black people support her in the 2016 primaries?)
Unfortunately, Sanders is still favored to win the nomination, thanks to the ominous polls coming out of Texas and California. In the general election, Sanders stands no chance whatsoever.
His current status owes much to the hoopla surrounding his two early victories. Voters like a winner. But they won't like a socialist who has pissed on JFK's memory, who has made anti-American statements, who has palled around with unabashed Marxists, and who wants Americans to pay half their income in taxes. They won't like Bernie Sanders once they learn who he really is.
So far, nobody has subjected Bernie to the vast opportunities offered by opposition research. There's a lot of dirt out there -- statements made on video that would kill any candidacy. Unfortunately, the Bros and the bots have managed to enforce a bizarre double standard upon the rest of the party: We may launch vicious smears against other Democratic candidates, but they may never never say one word against Saint Bernie.
That rule will disappear in the general election.
Bernie will die the death of a thousand scimitar slices. It'll be beyond brutal. Since he's a man with a heart condition (who probably has good reason to hide his EF number) I wouldn't be surprised if a hard-fought general election killed him physically. Obviously, I hope it doesn't.
Biden, by contrast, has already withstood the Ukraine smear, which is the real reason why his candidacy faltered. Biden stands before us pre-disastered: We've already seen Team Trump's big anti-Biden play. All they can do now is keep playing it. Expect to hear Big Lies from various Ukrainians, from opportunists and wheeler-dealers who live in a land where corruption runs deep and smears come cheap. The attacks on Biden will be almost as brutal as the attacks on Sanders, but they may be survivable. The big difference is that the oppo on Sanders is real while the oppo on Biden is bullshit.
Dems need to muster up the courage to say what they've so far been reluctant to say: Both Joe Biden and Hunter Biden did absolutely nothing wrong. Any Ukrainian (or any American prosecutor working under Barr's thumb) who says otherwise can be described in one of two words: Purchased and blackmailed.
And now for the Tweets:
By the way, has Sanders repudiated the efforts by Trump supporters, and now Trump himself, to dishonestly help him in South Carolina?— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) February 29, 2020
According to Bernie, when people vote for him, that's called "democracy." When people vote for his opponents, that's called "the corrupt centrist establishment taking money from billionaires to steal the election from him."— Democratic Woman ✊ (@_shareyourpower) February 29, 2020
Good to see some humility tonight from the Bernie bro who harassed a random Nigerian guy off Twitter because he thought it was one of Pete's campaign staff. https://t.co/QCDl19Ot3R— Jay McKenzie (@JamesFourM) March 2, 2020
I'll take Joe Biden's decency and his plan for our future over the group that calls their enemies "rats". How about you? https://t.co/mkZr54LEjM— Jay McKenzie (@JamesFourM) March 2, 2020
Again, Malkin spoke on the main stage at last year’s CPAC https://t.co/t0awQVnlCQ https://t.co/jQiruzwzqW— Christopher Mathias (@letsgomathias) March 2, 2020
In response to Biden's statement, one BernieBot responded as programmed: "The rule should be set by voters, not Democrats establishment. It is not fair to steal the nomination twice from Bernie..."Joe Biden: "I find a lot of folks in Bernie's operation are now saying whoever goes in with the most delegates... that they should be declared the winner. I wonder where that view was when he was challenging Hillary." pic.twitter.com/eWEyGKtWoW— The Hill (@thehill) March 1, 2020
Oy! Is there any way to kill this made-in-Russia canard? The nomination was NOT "stolen" in 2016. Hillary won fair and square, in large part because black people (whom the Sandernistas seem to detest) voted for her. As Biden points out, Sanders appealed to the superdelegates to overturn the will of the voters. Alas, even if you held a gun to a BernieBro's head, you will never get him to talk about that particular exercise in hypocrisy.
Worst of all, the BernieBros had a huge role in making the 2020 rules. They won a seat at that table through intimidation, fueled by rage and delusions of grievance.
Thus Article Biden wins, but the threat remains...
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