Title : Ukraine
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Ukraine
Many are talking about the great danger that the Ukraine scandal will work to Trump's benefit. The more we talk about it, the more people will wonder if the smear charges against Hunter Biden might have merit. Discussing the actual evidence requires sifting through details, and Americans don't like to do that. They prefer to let seemingly-confident men on teevee tell them what to think, and that's currently the job being done with admirable efficiency by Fox News, and by Trump himself.As David Corn noted,
Disinformation works because it creates an impression. Accuracy doesn’t matter. Then reporting on the disinformation spreads the impression. And even debunking can spread the impression. We in the media have to find a way not to be accomplices. So far, the media has not.Something similar happened every time MSNBC played that instantly-infamous "Russia, if you're listening" clip. Yes, it screamed "collusion" -- but it also made Hillary look bad, because Trump got to repeat the charge that she had eradicated 30,000 emails. What got lost was the fact that the FBI found many of those emails; they were innocuous. Also see here.
Trump's smear is repeated every time Trump is accused of working with foreign governments to smear an opponent. It's a classic no-win situation. Even the NYT fell into this trap, requiring a follow-up clarification.
The big question: How will Ukraine's leadership respond? They know that Trump is ultimately beholden to Putin, their enemy, and that a Democratic administration will be better for them in the long run. On the other hand, the Ukrainians are notoriously corrupt, notoriously responsive to the greased palm.
The WP looks into the Ukrainian angle here, but does not give sufficient attention to the corruption aspect.
They could give in to Trump’s demand to open an inquiry into the Ukrainian business dealings of Hunter Biden and risk the anger of Democrats and others for engaging in what those interests would see as interference in the 2020 elections. Or the Ukrainians could defy Trump and face the wrath of a president who had frozen $250 million of crucial military assistance for mysterious reasons before releasing it earlier this month.If they choose Trump, then we may presume either that the bribe was really, really big, or that the Trumpers have given them assurances that they have a foolproof plan to keep the White House for another decade or more. Maybe both.
Either way, they risk cracking the bipartisan consensus that has firmly supported Ukraine against Russia since 2014, when the Kremlin annexed Ukraine’s Crimea region and stoked war in Ukraine’s east. If Ukraine becomes associated with one U.S. political party or the other, it could jeopardize ties with its most important security backer.
In an interview with Ukrainian television station Hromadske that aired on Saturday, Foreign Minister Vadym Prystaiko denied that Trump had pressured Zelensky during the phone call.Oh really? Here's a report from another witness.
“I know what the conversation was about, and I think there was no pressure,” he said. “There was talk, conversations are different, leaders have the right to discuss any problems that exist. This conversation was long, friendly, and it touched on a lot of questions, including those requiring serious answers.”
Never in my wildest dreams did I imagine the Manafort revelations would become fodder for the U.S. elections in 2020. President Trump’s lawyer Rudolph W. Giuliani, the mouthpiece of this campaign, is not only attempting to rehabilitate Manafort but is also working to undermine U.S. relations with Ukraine, which has been confronting Russian aggression on its own for more than five years. Giuliani and his associates are trying to drag our newly elected president, Volodymyr Zelensky, into a conflict between two foreign political parties, drastically limiting Ukraine’s room for maneuver in respect to the United States, perhaps its most important international partner.
Giuliani's entire approach is built on disinformation and the manipulation of facts. Giuliani has developed a conspiracy theory in which he depicts my revelations about Manafort as an intervention in the 2016 U.S. election in favor of the Democratic Party.
Giuliani also persists in claiming that the “black ledger” is a fake. He stated this most recently just a few days ago in an interview with CNN. In fact, the book is a genuine document. Expert examinations have confirmed the authenticity of the signatures shown in it.In other words, what this is really, really about is Paul Manafort. Trump wants to pardon him. Trump wants to convince the public that Manafort was the victim of a monstrous Democratic plot (despite the admission of the man's own daughters). If Zelensky takes the bribe -- and I think he will -- the Urkainians will cough up "proof" that the evidence against Manafort (at least regarding the Ukrainian crimes) was concocted.
This is going to work out badly for the Democrats, I fear. Justice will prevail only if a Ukrainian is unwilling to take a bribe. Not a promising situation. It's as if the fate of the world depended on a Parisian's ability to speak for ten consecutive minutes without saying something smug.
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