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Title : WHO Records Lower Coronavirus Deaths All Across the Globe- Just the Facts and Farr's Law
link : WHO Records Lower Coronavirus Deaths All Across the Globe- Just the Facts and Farr's Law

WHO Records Lower Coronavirus Deaths All Across the Globe- Just the Facts and Farr's Law

 The trend continues

" The World Health Organization (WHO) reports a decline in coronavirus fatalities across the globe, Hans Henri Kluge, WHO regional director for Europe, said in an interview with TASS.

"There is [an] increasing [number] of cases, but lower mortality and less people in hospitals, and less people in intensive care units," he said."

Flashback  Coronavirus Death Predictions Bring New Meaning to Hysteria- Farr's Law &Epidemics

 

Farr’s law

William Farr demonstrated that epidemics decline at a mathematically predictable rate, using empirical observations of a smallpox epidemic to confirm this. He later formulated several other mathematical equations and laws that apply to epidemics, e.g., that prevalence of a disease can be calculated from the mathematical product of incidence and the average duration.

Relatedness of the incidence decay with exponential adjustment (IDEA) model, “Farr's law” and SIR compartmental difference equation models

 In the mid-19th century, Dr. William Farr made the observation that epidemic events rise and fall in a roughly symmetrical pattern that can be approximated by a bell-shaped curve. He noticed that this time-evolution behavior could be captured by a single mathematical formula (“Farr's law”) that could be used for epidemic forecasting.

 

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